This year’s Utah GOP primary is truly a David versus Goliath narrative—Dan Liljenquist’s $770,000 versus Orrin Hatch’s $9.2 million. For us “Davids”—average Utahns who would like to see Mr. Liljenquist become the next GOP US Senate nominee in Utah—those numbers alone are enough to make our almost penniless task seem hopeless.
But is it truly
hopeless? Let’s look at a couple of circumstances. First, Mr. Hatch
took two distinct advantages with him when he went into the GOP convention this
past April. Number one, he spent $5.5 million wooing delegates. Number
two, he used his substantial influence and knowledge of the Utah caucus system
to pack the delegate count in his favor. Did either of these strategies work?
No. After two ballots he failed to reach the magic 60% he needed to win the
nomination outright. Some would say this was miracle number one.
When looked at a little
more closely, this “non-knockout” is significant for a couple of reasons.
First, it showed that not all Utahns could be bought. In Round 1 of the
voting Senator Hatch received 2243 votes. Divide that into $5.5 million and
each of these votes “cost” him about $2,500. While Mr. Liljenquist’s
votes only “cost” a fraction of that at about $225/vote. Any good
businessman would take note of such a differential. The “cost savings” on the
Liljenquist side is dramatic.
Next, in the second round
Hatch only picked up 70 additional votes, about a 3% increase, while Mr.
Liljenquist picked up 487, or a whopping 44% increase. Again, a
businessman would notice there is something special going on with Liljenquist.
Why the dramatic
differences in cost and vote counts?
Here are a few of my
theories why these disparities occurred. First, I believe message
mattered more than money. No matter how much he spent, Hatch could not
defeat the rising anti-incumbent, pro-conservative, pro-accountability message.
Second, people are finally
starting to wake up and see Mr. Hatch’s record for what it is. For years
he slid by on personality and name recognition and the citizens of this state
listened. All the while he was supporting bailouts, rising debt, and
earmarks such as “bridges to nowhere.” He was also failing to push for
conservative justices and protect human life at its very beginnings.
While some of us have known these facts for years, finally the serious problems
in Washington are forcing the voting public to wake up with regards to Hatch’s
actual record and to, finally, see that he has contributed significantly to
what is now a national crisis.
Third, principles are
(finally!) starting to matter more than people. Despite all the loyal fans of
Hatch that were present at that the convention with their $2,500 worth of hats
and scarves and shirts, principle won the day. Hatch’s voting record was
obviously an issue. However, that was not enough. Being “against”
someone is not as powerful as being “for” someone else. On April 21, Mr.
Liljenquist stood before thousands of delegates and informed citizens and made
an excellent case for his enthusiasm and leadership. He spoke passionately
about principles such as fiscal responsibly, corporate turnarounds,
conservative values, and Utah statesmen (who live here) representing Utah, not
career Washington politicians (who live there).
The results? On April 21,
$5.5 million dollars could not deliver a knockout punch in Hatch’s favor while
about $250,000 gave the citizens of Utah a real choice. This was because it
does not matter how much you spend on your message, what matters most is the
message itself.
Looking ahead things may
still seem hopeless for us Davids. Staring $9.2 million in the face is not an
easy task. However, there is hope. In fact, Utahns have the chance to do
something very special over the next four weeks. We have the chance to show
that principles are stronger than tradition, politics, and personality, and
that message really does matter more than money. We have the chance to
show Washington that our votes cannot be bought—that we are as smart or smarter
than they are. We can show Washington that voting records matter more
than name recognition. We can show Washington that grass roots are more
powerful than multi-million dollar commercials.
What we sometimes forget
when referring to the story of David and Goliath is this—David won. On
June 26, Dan Liljenquiest can be the David of this story. Together, he and his
supporters (us!) can tell the Goliath, Senator Hatch and his multi-million
dollar donors, “that right makes might” (thank you Abraham Lincoln). All of us
can rise up and say, “Senator Hatch, we appreciate your years of service, but
it is time to come home.”
We can win this thing. And when we win, Utah wins, too.
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